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  1. #2301
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Graeme McConnachie View Post
    Don't know but it does come out the tap��
    Recorded 62mm rain this morning!! As if we needed more rain in the area. Herd of more water damage in Pinetown last night, hope not too bad.

    Cheers
    Graeme
    Thanks.

    88mm in Sheffield Beach (Ballito) last night.
    Jaco Nell

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  3. #2302
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Hendel1986 View Post
    We had 20mm on Friday night.

    What I am more interested in, is how much the Eastern Cape received? Seen reports of good rains around Middelburg.
    I measured 52mm in total on Friday and Saturday in PE.
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  5. #2303
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Very glad for PE.

    Expecting the dam levels to rise!
    It's only crazy until you do it.
    Almal dink jy is mal totdat jy die onmoontlike regkry!

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  7. #2304
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Thinking of Kzn who is getting another soaking.

    Strongs guys.
    It's only crazy until you do it.
    Almal dink jy is mal totdat jy die onmoontlike regkry!

  8. #2305
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Ashley, Pinetown 168 mm and counting, 120 of that was overnight and yesterday. Still raining now.
    Pool about to overflow again. Many road closures around here.
    Climate change is REAL and it is here now.
    We usually have almost no rain in May.
    Peter Hutchison
    Answering the call of the wild is just so much better than answering the telephone.
    Waking up in the morning is a good start. Then remember never ever to cross off the last item on your "bucket list" before first adding at least one more !!

    [B][SIZE=2][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=2][B]1998 ISUZU KB 280 DT LE, Modified Glider Hunter trailer fitted with RTT. (Reluctantly SOLD)
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  9. #2306
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Assagay. (Hillcrest) 146,5mm

  10. #2307
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    During the past 13 years that I have lived in Ballito I have kept exact records of rainfall. I count my season from the 1st of Sep to the 31st of Aug.

    During this time the lowest I recorded was around 750 mm and highest almost 1500 mm.

    However, this season is already past 1500 mm and counting. It is going to be extraordinary. New normal perhaps?.

    *Edit

    1519 mm till this morning.
    Last edited by jaconell; 2022/05/22 at 07:42 AM.
    Jaco Nell

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  12. #2308
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Looks like quite a bit of damage again in Umhloti, Westbrooke and other areas.

    I recorded 106mm this morning. Yesterday morning we had 34mm. This is 60km inland fro Dbn, and we normally get much less rain than Durban.

    Here are some reports which came through last night:

    M4 between Sibaya and Umdloti northbound completely blocked by mudslide.

    M4 Northbound approaching Umdloti Offramp...road washing away...pls warn other road users as well

    The Bridge at the bottom of Stockville road is about to collapse. It is extremely dangerous and having just come fom the bridge I would strongly advise to use an alternate route.

    Please take note.
    Umgeni road flooded.
    Higginson highway flooded.
    Bayhead and Southcoast road flooded.
    Parts of Bluff are flooded.
    Parts of Isipingo is flooded.
    Pinetown is flooded.
    M7 got lot water and mud on roadway.
    M13 got lot of water and mud on roadway.
    M19 out of Umgeni mud slides and lots of water.
    Mike Lauterbach

  13. #2309
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    We have cycles in the rainfall. This is very constant and can be seen in SA rainfall figures over the last more than hundred years. 10 years dry, 10 years wet, 10 years very dry, 10 years very wet etc. The 10 years can be more or less. Anything from 8 to 12 or 13.
    Interesting is that every wet season starts with big rains and flooding, this is what we are experiencing now.
    It is nothing new.
    Johan Groenewald
    With more reasons to sing than to fear

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  15. #2310
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Coenoes View Post
    We have cycles in the rainfall. This is very constant and can be seen in SA rainfall figures over the last more than hundred years. 10 years dry, 10 years wet, 10 years very dry, 10 years very wet etc. The 10 years can be more or less. Anything from 8 to 12 or 13.
    Interesting is that every wet season starts with big rains and flooding, this is what we are experiencing now.
    It is nothing new.
    Yes and no.

    I agree that we are beholden to cycles. The "no" more to say the swings are getting way more severe.
    Jaco Nell

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  17. #2311
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Durban South Basin, 8am yesterday to 8 am today = 225mm of rain.
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  18. #2312
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Quote Originally Posted by jaconell View Post
    Yes and no.

    I agree that we are beholden to cycles. The "no" more to say the swings are getting way more severe.
    I also have detailed records for many years. The difference is that more frequently now a LOT falls in a short period of time rather than a similar amount spread across the month. The rate of fall, apart from other considerations, is somewhat responsible for the damage.
    Yes, the cycles of dry and wet are correct.
    Peter Hutchison
    Answering the call of the wild is just so much better than answering the telephone.
    Waking up in the morning is a good start. Then remember never ever to cross off the last item on your "bucket list" before first adding at least one more !!

    [B][SIZE=2][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=2][B]1998 ISUZU KB 280 DT LE, Modified Glider Hunter trailer fitted with RTT. (Reluctantly SOLD)
    Now ancient 1985 re-modelled interior Jurgens Siesta 4 pop up caravan converted to suit SWAMBO's needs.
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  20. #2313
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Quote Originally Posted by jaconell View Post
    During the past 13 years that I have lived in Ballito I have kept exact records of rainfall. I count my season from the 1st of Sep to the 31st of Aug.

    During this time the lowest I recorded was around 750 mm and highest almost 1500 mm.

    However, this season is already past 1500 mm and counting. It is going to be extraordinary. New normal perhaps?.

    *Edit

    1519 mm till this morning.
    I also use the season Sep to Aug for my record keeping.
    This is good for KZN, other provinces should maybe set a different season accordingly.
    My 2c.
    Peter Hutchison
    Answering the call of the wild is just so much better than answering the telephone.
    Waking up in the morning is a good start. Then remember never ever to cross off the last item on your "bucket list" before first adding at least one more !!

    [B][SIZE=2][FONT=Calibri][SIZE=2][B]1998 ISUZU KB 280 DT LE, Modified Glider Hunter trailer fitted with RTT. (Reluctantly SOLD)
    Now ancient 1985 re-modelled interior Jurgens Siesta 4 pop up caravan converted to suit SWAMBO's needs.
    Platkar = 2010 Chevy Spark 1.2

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  22. #2314
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Interesting variations, KZN having unusually heavy rains, yet in the Western Cape our rain season is unusually late this year.

  23. #2315
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    32mm in Heuwelsig, Bloem on Friday. The last drought we experienced was the 2015/16 season, since then it's been abnormally wet and as we know with rainfall in SA, what in numbers go up must come down. When the next drought hits, it's gonna hit HARD.
    2001 Gen 3 Pajero swb 3.2 Di-D

  24. #2316
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Before these May rains but after the April ones, comment was that the 100 year RP return period theoretical rainfall may need to be upped 20%. I guess shorter return periods will be increased as well.

  25. #2317
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Deleted.
    Last edited by Mal Hannes; 2022/05/22 at 05:00 PM.
    It's only crazy until you do it.
    Almal dink jy is mal totdat jy die onmoontlike regkry!

  26. #2318
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Western Cape winter rainfall is way behind schedule this year.

    But with two back to back low pressure systems fast approaching from the West, it could get very interesting early next week !!

    Let's see if they grow in strength or loose potency.

    See here: https://earth.nullschool.net/#curren....59,-30.80,346

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Views: 164
Size:  292.2 KB
    Last edited by Searcher; 2022/06/07 at 06:03 PM.

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  28. #2319
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Searcher View Post
    Western Cape winter rainfall is way behind schedule this year.

    But with two back to back low pressure systems fast approaching from the West, it could get very interesting early next week !!

    Let's see if they grow in strength or loose potency.

    See here: https://earth.nullschool.net/#curren....59,-30.80,346

    Name:  Screenshot_20220607-174139_Firefox.jpg
Views: 164
Size:  292.2 KB
    The forecast for Paarl/Stellenbosch area is downright frightening!
    There is never a right time to do the wrong thing and never a wrong time to do the right thing!

  29. #2320
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    Default Re: Rainfall updates

    Quote Originally Posted by Peter1949 View Post
    I also have detailed records for many years. The difference is that more frequently now a LOT falls in a short period of time rather than a similar amount spread across the month. The rate of fall, apart from other considerations, is somewhat responsible for the damage.
    Yes, the cycles of dry and wet are correct.
    Spot on Peter, the volume/time was the main problem, other factors may have exacerbated the problem but having double the previous rainfall record over 24/48 hrs was never going to end well.
    I just hope the coming rain makes it north to where its needed - things are getting critical down there!!
    FJC - Just Cruising

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